NFL : IBN Incarcerated Picks - Wildcard Sunday
posted Jan 10 2016, 07:37AM
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Picks, Wildcard Week Sunday Edition : IBN Presents Incarcerated Picks - Picks / Analysis

NFL Football - Wildcard Week Sunday

*2015 NFL Season Record: 85-74-2 +$3,567

*2014 NFL Season + Playoffs Record: 98-86-6 +$15,568

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob

Co Write-Up via David Loret (@doc_Spoon on Twitter)

 

Seattle Seahawks

@ Minnesota Vikings

Vegas Lines

Line : SEA -4.5 (-103)

Total : O/U 39.5 (-108/-102)

 

Bob & Dave's Lowdown

The Minnesota Vikings absorbed their worst loss of the season to Seattle just over a month ago and now must figure out a way to turn the tables when they host the Seahawks in an NFC wild-card game on Sunday afternoon. The Vikings may get an assist from the weather, with temperatures at game time expected to be near zero with a wind chill of minus-20 degrees. "The first thing is, we need our fans to make it an advantage for us," Minnesota coach Mike Zimmer said of the frigid forecast. The Vikings were limited to 125 total yards by Seattle in a 38-7 mauling on Dec. 6, but they recovered to win their final three games to secure the NFC North title and No. 3 seed. The Seahawks, who are coming off back-to-back Super Bowl appearances, closed the season by winning six of their last seven games. Sixth-seeded Seattle also has won five in a row on the road while surrendering a total of 34 points in that span.

Quarterback Russell Wilson has been brilliant during Seattle's 6-1 run with 24 touchdown passes and only one interception, and he burned the Vikings by throwing for 274 yards and three scores while rushing for 51 yards. While Doug Baldwin has been Wilson's top target with 11 TD receptions in his last six games, the buzz in Seattle revolves around the availability of running back Marshawn Lynch, who returned to practice for the first time since undergoing abdominal surgery on Nov. 25. The Seahawks rank No. 1 against the run and led the league in scoring defense (17.3 points per game). Minnesota fell into a 21-0 hole in last month's meeting and was forced to abandon the run, leaving NFL leading rusher Adrian Peterson grousing about his role after receiving only eight carries for 18 yards. Expect that number of rushing attempts to increase dramatically as the Vikings look to alleviate pressure on second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater, who was sacked four times and held to 118 yards by the Seahawks. Minnesota's defense was ravaged by injury in the first meeting but has permitted only 43 points during the three-game winning streak and allowed 18.9 points per contest.

Key Trends

  • Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 playoff games.
  • Under is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games overall.
  • Seahawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games in January.
  • Vikings are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Vikings are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
  • Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
  • Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

 

Extra Points

1. Wilson, the league leader in passer rating, is the first QB in history to amass at least 30 TD passes, 4,000 yards passing and 500 yards rushing in a season.

2. Peterson, who tied for the NFL lead with 11 rushing touchdowns, has run for 367 yards and five TDs in four playoff games.

3. Lynch can join Emmitt Smith and Terrell Davis as the only players with seven 100-yard rushing games in the postseason.

 

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Green Bay Packers

@ Washington Redskins

Vegas Lines

Line : WSH -1 (-102)

Total : O/U 46 (-103/-107)

 

Bob & Dave's Lowdown

The Washington Redskins faced an uphill battle to make the playoffs for much of the season, but they are on a roll heading into Sunday's wild-card matchup against the visiting Green Bay Packers. The Redskins did not climb above .500 for the first time until Week 16 and did not post consecutive victories until rattling off four straight to close the regular season. “It’s important to go into the playoffs with some momentum and a rhythm,” Washington quarterback Kirk Cousins said. "It’s crucial to keep that momentum and carry it into what will be the biggest game of the year.” While the fourth-seeded Redskins surged into the postseason, No. 5 Green Bay dropped its final two games to squander the NFC North title and a chance to host a game this weekend. The Packers have been in a bit of a tailspin since a 6-0 start to open the season, dropping six of their last 10 games. “We have to prove to ourselves we can win the big games,” Green Bay quarterback Aaron Rodgers said. "“There’s belief there, but we have to prove it to ourselves."

Rodgers finished with his lowest passer rating (92.7) and completion percentage (60.7) since taking over as the team's starter in 2008 and wound up the season by taking 13 sacks over his last two games in which Green Bay managed a combined 21 points. Rodgers is not getting much help from a ground game that produced 75 yards in last week's home loss to Minnesota, including 34 on 13 carries by Eddie Lacy. Wide receiver Randall Cobb has made 14 catches over the last three games but has turned them into only 92 yards. The defense rebounded from an ugly loss at Arizona to hold Minnesota to 242 yards. With Washington already having locked up the NFC East title, Cousins played only one half in last week's 34-23 victory at Dallas, throwing three scoring passes to give him 11 touchdowns and no interceptions in the last three games. Although tight end Jordan Reed had a relatively quiet season finale with four catches, he was unstoppable in the previous three games with 25 receptions for 333 yards and five touchdowns. Running back Alfred Morris is coming off his first 100-yard performance since Week 1, while Washington's defense has collected 14 sacks over the last three games.

 

Key Trends

  • Under is 4-0 in Packers last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Under is 6-1 in Packers last 7 vs. NFC.
  • Under is 5-1 in Packers last 6 games on grass.
  • Over is 4-0 in Redskins last 4 games overall.
  • Redskins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Over is 8-1 in Redskins last 9 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
  • Packers are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
  • Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

 

Extra Points

1. The Packers have beaten only one team with a winning record at the time they played - a 30-13 victory at Minnesota on Nov. 22.

2. Winners of six of their last seven at home, the Redskins are seeking their first playoff victory since January 2006.

3. Rodgers can become only the seventh QB in history with five 300-yard passing efforts in the postseason.

 

 

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**All Lines are from 5Dimes & Bookmaker (5Dimes.eu / Bookmaker.eu)**

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Incarcerated Bob
It's the man they love to "HATE" - Started from the bottom in the sports world with Boomer & Carton (WFAN in NY) giving picks at an accuracy rate that...



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