NFL : IBN Incarcerated Picks - Super Bowl 50
posted Feb 05 2016, 03:07PM
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Picks, Super Bowl 50 Edition : IBN Presents Incarcerated Picks - Picks / Analysis

NFL Football - SUPER BOWL 50 EDITION

*2015 NFL Season Record: 95-84-5 +$2,947

*2014 NFL Season + Playoffs Record: 98-86-6 +$15,568

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob

Co Write-Up via David Loret (@doc_Spoon on Twitter)

 

Carolina Panthers

vs Denver Broncos

Vegas Lines

Line : CAR -5.5 (-102)

Total : O/U 44 (-105/-105)

 

Bob & Dave's Lowdown

Cam Newton will be looking to cap off a magical season by leading the Panthers to a win over Peyton Manning and the Broncos in Super Bowl 50.

The Panthers embarrassed the Cardinals in the NFC Championship Game, winning 49-15 as three-point home favorites. Carolina comes into the Super Bowl with three straight victories both SU and ATS. The team has been dominant on both sides of the ball, averaging 39.9 PPG and allowing just 16.3 PPG over the course of the winning streak. The Broncos, meanwhile, defeated the Patriots 20-18 as three-point home underdogs in the AFC Championship Game. Denver has now won four straight games coming into this contest, but the team covered in just one of those victories. The last time the Broncos faced the Panthers was Nov. 11, 2012, when Denver won 36-14 as a 3.5-point favorite in Carolina. There are plenty of trends that will need to be taken into consideration when looking into this game. Working in Carolina’s favor is the fact that the team is 11-2 ATS when playing on a grass field this season and 17-3 ATS after three consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better since 1992. Denver, meanwhile, is 17-4 ATS when playing with two weeks or more of rest since 1992 and 10-1 ATS in games played away from home on a grass field over the past three seasons. Another thing worth noting is that underdogs are 11-3 ATS in the past 14 Super Bowls. The Panthers will be dealing with a number of injuries in this game, as S Roman Harper (Eye), LB Thomas Davis (Arm) and DE Jared Allen (Foot) are listed as questionable for this one. All of the players are likely going to take the field, but they may be less effective than usual. For the Broncos, S Darian Stewart (Knee) and S T.J. Ward (Ankle) are listed as questionable for this one.

The Panthers have been dominant all season long and the team continued to roll with a 49-15 victory against the Cardinals in the NFC Championship Game. Carolina forced Arizona to turn the ball over seven times and the defense will be looking for more of the same against Denver in the Super Bowl. Peyton Manning is one of the best quarterbacks ever to play, but he has an extremely weak arm at this point in his career. Luke Kuechly will be somebody that Manning will really need to keep an eye on, as the linebacker has had a pick-six in back-to-back games. The Panthers must also focus on stopping the run, though. Denver has leaned heavily on the rushing attack and Carolina’s fourth-ranked rushing defense will need to be ready to play in the biggest game of the year. Offensively, this Panthers team will attack Denver in a number of different ways. Cam Newton must come through with a big game against the Broncos and it’s hard to imagine him not finding success. Newton threw for 335 yards with two touchdowns and just one interception against the Cardinals last game. He also added 10 carries for 47 yards and two scores. The field opens up for all of the Panthers’ weapons when Newton is running the ball well and Carolina will definitely try to get him going on the ground in the first half of this game. Jonathan Stewart will also help wear down the defense with some punishing runs up the middle. Stewart has rushed for 189 yards and two touchdowns on 38 carries in two postseason games. He is looking as explosive as ever and will be leaned on heavily in this one. Through the air, Newton will be targeting Greg Olsen and Ted Ginn Jr. often. Olsen has 12 catches for 190 yards and a score in the postseason and is Newton’s go-to option. He is capable of creating space for himself as well as any tight end in the league and Newton won’t hesitate to find him in this one. Ginn Jr., meanwhile, is a deep threat that Newton will be looking to take advantage of. He has blazing speed and will make the Broncos pay for any mistakes in coverage in the Super Bowl.

The Broncos had to go through Tom Brady and the Patriots in the AFC Championship game and their defense played an unbelievable game to secure the win for Denver. The league’s top-ranked defense forced Tom Brady to throw two interceptions in the game and also sacked the legendary quarterback four times. Denver was dialing up blitzes left and right and will need to find a way to get pressure on Cam Newton in the Super Bowl. Newton is an explosive player in a number of different ways and the Broncos absolutely must contain him. Offensively, the Broncos could use a vintage performance from Peyton Manning. That is unlikely to happen, though, and the team would probably be equally as happy if Manning can just avoid turning the ball over in this one. He did just that against the Patriots last game, throwing for 176 yards with two touchdowns and no picks. Owen Daniels was a big factor in the victory over New England, catching both of the touchdowns in that game. Manning will likely be looking to him often in this game as well. Demaryius Thomas could help Denver win by performing at a high level in this one. Thomas has struggled in the postseason, catching just six passes for 52 yards. He is one of the best receivers in the league and must make a bigger impact in this one. The most important thing for the Broncos offense, however, is the running game. C.J. Anderson and Ronnie Hillman will need to make some plays in this game, as Manning no longer has the arm to defeat his opponents through the air. If they can take some pressure off of Manning and the passing game then the Broncos could pull off the upset in Super Bowl 50.

Key Trends

  • Over is 6-0 in Panthers last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
  • Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
  • Over is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 playoff games.
  • Over is 5-0 in Broncos last 5 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Broncos are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
  • Under is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 playoff games.

 

Extra Points

1. Manning is attempting to become the first quarterback to win a Super Bowl with two different teams.

2. Carolina is bidding to become the fourth team - and third Super Bowl champion - to finish with an 18-1 record.

3. Denver is making its eighth Super Bowl appearance to tie New England, Dallas and Pittsburgh for most in league history.

 

IBN CAPPER'S UPDATED PICKS ON THIS GAME

JLB'S PREMIUM *FREE* PICK: PANTHERS -3 (1H) -125 

*3 PROPS BELOW*

JLB'S PREMIUM *VIP* PICK: $3,000 PANTHERS @ BRONCOS "CASHOUT BANGER"

(SIGN UP HERE FOR BEST BET ' PICK EMAILED ASAP

 

INCARCERATED BOB'S *FREE* PICK: BRONCOS / PANTHERS OVER 22 (1ST HALF) -110

*PROP BETS + TEASERS BELOW*

INCARCERATED BOB'S *VIP* PICKS: $5,000 BRONCOS VS PANTHERS "BIG BOY BET"

 

 (GET ACCESS NOW ' SIGN UP HERE)

 

VINNY THE GAMBLERS *FREE* PICK: $700 PANTHERS -3 (1ST HALF) -117

VINNY THE GAMBLERS *VIP* PICK: $3,000 BRONCOS VS PANTHERS (SIDE) : $1,000 BRONCOS VS PANTHERS (TOTAL) "WISEGUY BETS"

 (GET ACCESS NOW ' SIGN UP HERE)

 

IBN UPDATED SUPER BOWL 50 TEASERS

BOB'S *TEASER* $1,000 BRONCOS +12.5 :: PANTHERS/BRONCOS UNDER 51.5 (7PT TEASER ' TIES REDUCE) -125

JLB'S $800 *FREE TEASER* BRONCOS +11.5 :: PANTHERS/BRONCOS UNDER 51.5 (7PT TEASER ' TIES REDUCE) -125

 

IBN CAPPERS PROP BETS

BOB'S *FREE PROP BET* $500 WILL BRONCOS SCORE RUSHING TD (YES) -130
 
RANDIZZLE'S NFL FREE PROP: $300 CAM NEWTON LONGEST PASS OVER 38.5 YARDS -115 
 
VINNY'S *FREE PROP* $300 RONNIE HILLMAN LONGEST RUSH UNDER 12.5 YDS -120 (PROP)
 
JLB'S $300 *FREE PROP* PANTHERS CHALLENGE FIRST -110 (YES) *PROP BET* 
 
ADDITIONAL SUPER BOW PROP BETS AVAILABLE NOW -- SIGN UP GET THE ENTIRE SB CARD ALL CAPPERS
 

IBN CAPPERS ON TWITTER

*Twitter Access For IBN Cappers*

Twitter.com/JLBCashout

Twitter.com/Incarceratedbob 

Twitter.com/VinnyDaGambler 

Twitter.com/Cash_MoneyPicks

*Email* Incarceratedbob@Gmail.Com – Get info on becoming a member ' all picks (All Sports) emailed daily.


**All Lines are from 5Dimes & Bookmaker (5Dimes.eu / Bookmaker.eu)**

Follow Incarcerated Bob's **Breaking Sports Stories + Picks/Fantasy Advice**

Twitter.com/Incarceratedbob

Incarcerated Bob
It's the man they love to "HATE" - Started from the bottom in the sports world with Boomer & Carton (WFAN in NY) giving picks at an accuracy rate that...



Recent IBN Stories