NFL : IBN Picks - NFL Week 10
posted Nov 13 2016, 08:51AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 9

*2016 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2015 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 96-85-4 +$2,722

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

 

Denver Broncos @ New Orleans Saints

1:00

Vegas Lines:

Line : NO -3 (-110)

Total : O/U 50 (-110/-110)

The OVER is a great play when the Broncos and Saints face off. In the last five matches between the clubs, the OVER is 4-1. The OVER is also 4-0 in the Broncos’ last four as road underdogs.

New Orleans’ reputation for its high-octane offense and shaky defense has been on display in 2016. The Saints lead the NFL in yards per game at 434.5, but they’re third-last in yards allowed at 408.5. With that in mind, is it any surprise that the OVER is 8-1 in New Orleans’ last nine in Louisiana?

Denver has had a major edge in this series of late. In their last four matchups, the Broncos are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS.

After the loss to the Raiders, Denver now sits in third place in the AFC West behind Oakland and Kansas City. At this point, it’s far more likely the Broncos miss the postseason altogether than they win the Super Bowl again.

 

Key Trends
The Saints are 1-6 SU in their last seven games after consecutive wins
The total has gone OVER in the Broncos' last four games as road underdogs
The Broncos are 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games on the road after losing their most recent road game

 

Denver Broncos
Denver is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games
Denver is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Denver is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing New Orleans

New Orleans Saints
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 gamesNew Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games at home
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing Denver

 

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Dallas Cowboys @ Pittsburgh Steelers

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : PIT -3 (-110)

Total : O/U 49.5 (-110/-110).

Pittsburgh failed to cover the spread in three straight games — two of which they were the favorite in.

The Cowboys, meanwhile, have been printing money for their backers as their seven-game win streak includes seven consecutive covers. The Cowboys are 7-0-1 ATS on the season and bettors will be interested to know that the last time they won eight straight games was way back in 1993.

Taking a look at the total which opened as the highest on the Week 10 slate at 50, the teams have combined to go 5-11 O/U on the season and they’ve also combined to top the 50-point mark just three times this season.

 

Key Trends

The Steelers are 7-2 SU in their last nine games after losing as a favorite
Ben Roethlisberger has thrown for 3 or more TDs in his last six games at home
The total has gone UNDER in seven of the Cowboys' last eight games as underdog


Dallas Cowboys
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Dallas's last 9 games on the road
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Pittsburgh is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
Pittsburgh is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Dallas
Pittsburgh is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dallas

 

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Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots

8:30

Vegas Lines:

Line : NE -7.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 49.5 (-110/-110)

 

The Pats have won and covered in four straight games coming into this prime-time matchup and opened as big favorites. In their last 15 games as underdogs of seven points or more, the Seahawks are just 4-11 against the spread.

Russell Wilson and the Seahawks were left looking for answers after their defeat in the Super Bowl and it’s unlikely they find any kind of salvation in this matchup. The Patriots’ only home loss to an NFC team in their last six matchups against them came against the Eagles last year in a game Philly scored three non-offensive touchdowns and came away with a seven-point victory that would wind up being the Pats’ only loss at Gillette all year.

New England is undefeated since Brady returned from suspension and has beaten opponents by an average of 16.25 points and hasn’t won by less than 11. In that time, No. 12 has completed 73.1 percent of his passes for 1319 yards and 12 touchdowns and he has yet to throw an interception.

The Seahawks have thrived on their solid defense this year but the Buffalo Bills proved in Week 9 that there are definitely some chinks in the armor. Tyrod Taylor and the Bills’ 19th-most efficient passing attack managed to gain 289 yards through the air on the Seahawks. New England has the No. 1 most efficient passing attack in the NFL and has a pretty good running game to boot.

 

Key Trends

The Patriots have won 19 home games in a row after playing consecutive road games
The Seahawks are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after a win
The Patriots are 5-1 both SU and ATS in their last 6 home games against the NFC


Seattle Seahawks
Seattle is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 gamesSeattle is 12-4-1 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games on the road
Seattle is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
Seattle is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing New England
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing New England
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against New England

New England Patriots
New England is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
New England is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
New England is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 7 games at home
New England is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
New England is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games when playing Seattle
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
New England is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

 

 

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