NFL : IBN Picks - NFL Week 12
posted Nov 27 2016, 12:07PM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 12

*2016 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2015 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 96-85-4 +$2,722

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

 

L.A. Rams @ N.O. Saints

1:00

Vegas Lines:

Line : NO -8 (-110)

Total : O/U 44.5 (-110/-110)

The Saints strung together five straight covers before their SU and ATS losses to the Broncos and Panthers but may have been lucky to achieve that as they’ve won just one game this season by more than five points.

The defense has been a problem for New Orleans all season but the Rams have one of the lowest offensive efficiency rates in the NFL. LA hasn’t scored over 10 points in four straight weeks and has dropped five of its last six games. The Saints are the third-highest scoring team in the league so this one has the potential to get lopsided.

The Rams are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on the road after covering in their most recent road game and have covered just once in their last six games. 2016 is now basically a wash for the Rams and will be dedicated to teaching their new quarterback the NFL ropes.

 

Key Trends
The Rams are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against the Saints
The Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games at home against teams with losing records
The total has gone OVER in 8 of the Saints' last 10 games at home

 

L.A. RAMS

Los Angeles is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games

Los Angeles is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 11 games on the road

Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Los Angeles is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans

 

New Orleans Saints

New Orleans is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games

New Orleans is 6-11-1 ATS in its last 18 games at home

New Orleans is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games at home

The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games at home

New Orleans is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles

New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles

New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

New Orleans is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Los Angeles

 

GET ACCESS NOW HERE


 

N.E. Patriots @ N.Y. Jets

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : NE -8.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 47.5 (-110/-110).

New England has not covered the spread in six straight games against New York. The Jets are 0-15 SU and 2-12-1 ATS in their last 15 games with a closing total of 47 or more and the Patriots have been one of the best spread bets in pro sports over the past couple of months.

The Jets’ only three wins this year came when they held their opponents to 86 or fewer rushing yards. New England has been averaging 120 yards on the ground over its last five. Josh McDaniels and Belichick will likely have their way with the Jets defense on Sunday and it’s highly unlikely that Ryan Fitzpatrick keeps pace with Brady and the high-octane Patriots offense.

Since their push in Week 1, the Jets have not covered a spread in a game they’ve lost.

 

Key Trends

The Patriots are 16-2 SU in their last 18 games after losing the previous game in a matchup
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the Patriots' last 6 games as road favorites
The Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games with a closing total of 47.0 or more


NE PATRIOTS

New England is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

New England is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New England's last 7 games on the road

New England is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

New England is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing NY Jets

The total has gone OVER in 11 of New England's last 13 games when playing NY Jets

New England is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

New England is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

New England is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Jets

 

NY JETS

NY Jets is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

NY Jets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games

NY Jets is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New England

NY Jets is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing New England

The total has gone OVER in 11 of NY Jets's last 13 games when playing New England

NY Jets is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against New England

NY Jets is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 games when playing at home against New England

NY Jets is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against New England

The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets's last 6 games when playing at home against New England

 

RANDIZZLE'S **FREE PICK** :: 

GET ACCESS NOW HERE


 

K.C. Chiefs @ Denver Broncos

8:30

Vegas Lines:

Line : NE -3.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 39.5 (-110/-110)

 

This game opened with the smallest total on the board and with the third- and ninth-rated DVOA defenses facing off, that seems to make sense. The Broncos are 0-2 when they’ve given up more than 250 passing yards but the Chiefs are averaging just 235.9 passing yards per game and Denver has given up just 194.3 per game.

It seems very unlikely the banged-up Chiefs produce much offense against these stingy Broncos after putting up an average of just 18.67 points per game in their last three games, which came against the Jaguars, Panthers and Buccaneers – teams who have all given up 24.6 or more points per game this season.

The Broncos have not been scoring much themselves and if they hold KC to under 14 points like I’m expecting them to, this game has a really good chance to go UNDER. This spread may be a tough one and I’d suggest saving this game for the final button on your Sunday teaser.

 

Key Trends

The Chiefs are 7-0 SU in their last 7 games against teams in the AFC West
The Broncos are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games against the Chiefs
The total has gone UNDER in the Chiefs' last 6 games


KC Chiefs

Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games

Kansas City is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 games on the road

Kansas City is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road

Kansas City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver

Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Denver

Kansas City is 3-12 SU in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Denver

 

Denver Broncos

Denver is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games

Denver is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games

Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Denver is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas City

Denver is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Kansas City

 

 

GET ACCESS NOW HERE

IBN CAPPER'S UPDATED PICKS 

RISKY PICKS (@JUMPMANJORDAN) : Chiefs +3.5


 

BOB's *FREE* TEASER (3-TEAM ' SPECIAL 10PT TEASER)

 

 

 


- See more here.

 


IBN FANTASY SLEEPERS (SUNDAY NIGHT)

1. 

2. 


Fantasy Questions Answered @IBNincarcerated


 

IBN CAPPERS ON TWITTER

*Twitter Access For IBN Cappers*

Twitter.com/Incarceratedbob

Twitter.com/Cash_MoneyPicks

Twitter.com/JumpmanJordan

*Email* Incarceratedbob@Gmail.Com – Get info on becoming a member ' all picks (All Sports) emailed daily.

 

IBN FREE PICKS READY NOW '' FREE PICKS FROM ALL CAPPERS 

**All Lines are from 5Dimes & Bookmaker (5Dimes.eu / Bookmaker.eu)**

Follow Incarcerated Bob's **Fantasy Advice**

Twitter.com/IBNIncarcerated

- See more here.

Risky Picks
Heavy interest on daring parlay bets with (straight up, spread and o/u) my beer money. Follow My picks daily to see if I achieve gambling alcoholism. ...



Recent IBN Stories