NFL : IBN Picks - NFL Week 13
posted Dec 04 2016, 08:11AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 13

*2016 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2015 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 96-85-4 +$2,722

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

 

Kansas City Chiefs @ Atlanta Falcons

1:00

Vegas Lines:

Line : ATL -6 (-110)

Total : O/U 50 (-110/-110)

Two very different offenses are set to collide in Week 13 when the Kansas City Chiefs travel to Georgia to do battle with the Atlanta Falcons. Both teams sit atop their respective divisions after triumphing last weekend.

If you’re looking for underdog value, it’s likely best to avoid this matchup. Favorites have gone 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven meetings between Atlanta and K.C.

The OVER has been a fantastic bet in this series, though. In their past four tilts, the OVER is a perfect 4-0.

Kansas City, which toppled Denver 30-27 as 3.5-point dogs, is a poor bet to cash spread tickets two weeks in a row. The Chiefs are 0-7 ATS in their last seven after an ATS win.

 

Key Trends

The Chiefs are 7-1 SU and ATS in their last eight games on the road after covering in their most recent road game

The total has gone UNDER in the Falcons' last seven games in December

The Falcons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as a favorite of 4.0 or less

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

 

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Atlanta is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games
Atlanta is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

 

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Buffalo Bills @ Oakland Raiders

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : OAK -3 (-110)

Total : O/U 48.5 (-110/-110).

 

 

Key Trends

 


Buffalo Bills

Buffalo is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Buffalo is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games
Buffalo is 3-5-2 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Buffalo is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Buffalo is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Buffalo is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oakland

 

Oakland Raiders

Oakland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 game
Oakland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home
Oakland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
Oakland is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing Buffalo
Oakland is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 6 games when playing at home against Buffalo

 

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New York Giants @ Pittsburgh Steelers

8:30

Vegas Lines:

Line : PIT -6 (-110)

Total : O/U 48.5 (-110/-110)

 

The New York Giants have rattled off six straight wins and will look to make it seven the Pittsburgh Steelers at Heinz Field. New York has established itself as one of the best bets in the NFL, going 5-1 ATS during the aforementioned winning streak. The Steelers have tons of weapons, but do they warrant the -5.5 number. 

The Giants are also on a tear when it comes to covering the spread against the Steelers. New York is 3-1 ATS in its last four tilts with Pittsburgh.

Totals of 50 or more points might scare off OVER bettors, but the Giants are proving to be a solid bet in that regard. New York has gone OVER in six of its last eight when facing a closing total of at least 50.

 

Key Trends

The Giants are 1-11 SU in their last 12 games as an underdog of 5.5 or less

The Steelers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games at home after failing to cover in their most recent home game

The total has gone UNDER in five of the Steelers' last six games as favorite


New York Giants

NY Giants is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants's last 5 games
NY Giants is 2-2-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 5 games on the road

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Pittsburgh is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

 

 

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Risky Picks
Heavy interest on daring parlay bets with (straight up, spread and o/u) my beer money. Follow My picks daily to see if I achieve gambling alcoholism. ...



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