NFL : IBN Picks - NFL Week 8
posted Oct 29 2017, 11:28AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 8

*2017 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2016 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

 

 

 

New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears

1:00

Vegas Lines:

Line  NO -3.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 46 (-110/-110)

 

 

The New Orleans Saints are 8-1 SU and 9-0 ATS in their last nine games played in the month of October. 

The Saints overcame a slow start on the road against the Green Bay Packers last Sunday to come away with a 26-17 victory, improving to 4-0 SU and ATS over their last four games since starting the season off 0-2 SU and ATS. New Orleans has enjoyed recent success against Chicago with a 4-1 SU and 4-0-1 ATS record in its last five games against the Bears.

Rookie quarterback Mitch Trubisky threw only seven passes in Chicago’s 17-3 win over Carolina last Sunday. In all, the Bears had only 153 total yards of offense, but were able to pick up the win thanks to Eddie Jackson returning a fumble 75 yards for a touchdown and an interception 76 yards for another score. Chicago is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games when coming off an upset win.

 

Key Trends

The Bears are 21-8 SU in their last 29 games in Week 8.

The Saints are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games at home against teams with losing records.

The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Saints’ last 15 games as favorite.

Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Chicago is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games

Chicago is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games on the road

New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans' last 9 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games at home

 

 

 

 

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Dallas Cowboys @ Washington Redskins

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : DEN -1.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 41 (-110)

 

The total opened on Tuesday at 50.5 points and it could be easily surpassed as both teams rank in the top 10 in points per game this season. Dallas averages 27.5 ppg and Washington averages 23.5 ppg. Also, the Cowboys may not have star running back Ezekiel Elliott much longer with his ongoing legal battle with the NFL, so you should expect the Cowboys to put the rock in his hands as much as they can. Bettors may even want to consider Elliott for a multiple touchdown score prop after he hit pay dirt three times in San Francisco.

Dallas opened as 2.5-point favorites over Washington and it may be difficult for bettors to rely on them to cover. Coming off a convincing win over a doormat 49ers team, Dallas is only 3-3 ATS this season and has shown a tendency to fall short against stiffer competition. Their middle-of-the-pack defense was exploited by Denver, Green Bay and the Rams this season and could have a tough time stopping Kirk Cousins and company at FedExField. If you want to exercise caution, the Dallas moneyline opened at -130 and a great trend for bettors is the visiting team’s 6-1 SU mark in the last seven games in this matchup.

Washington has also been hit-or-miss ATS with a 2-4 record in six games this season and couldn’t even cover at home in Week 7 against the 49ers. Throw in the possibility of All-Pro left tackle Trent Williams missing this game due to injury, and the Redskins may be in tough to keep up with Dallas’ offense.

A bright spot for the Redskins defense is the expected return of star cornerback Josh Norman to the field in Week 8. He could prove to be the foil for Dallas wideout Dez Bryant, who has scored a touchdown in four of his last five games.

 

 

Key Trends

 

The total has gone over in 18 of Washington’s last 25 games.

Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas.

Dallas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.

Dallas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

Dallas is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games

Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Washington is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

The total has gone OVER in 18 of Washington's last 25 games

Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Washington is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

 

 

 

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Detroit Lions @ Pittsburgh Steelers

8:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : NE -3 (-110)

Total : O/U 56.5 (-110)

 

Detroit has dropped eight of its last nine vs the Steelers with the last meeting between the squads coming in 2013 when Pittsburgh won 37-27. Ben Roethlisberger threw for 367 yards and four touchdowns in the win.

The Lions are riding a mini two-game losing streak that is a direct result of a defense that’s started to spring some leaks. The Lions defensive unit played well through the first four weeks of the campaign but looked shaky in a 27-24 loss to Carolina and a 52-38 defeat to New Orleans in Week 6.

Detroit had five turnovers against the Saints that led to a whopping three defensive touchdowns by New Orleans. After getting some rest during his team’s bye week, quarterback Matthew Stafford will hopefully look more like his normal self rather than the signal-caller who was battling an ankle injury while looking sloppy vs the Saints.

Top wide receiver Golden Tate's chances of playing in the game looked murky, but as of Friday afternoon reports were leaning towards him starting. In that case, Marvin Jones Jr. would be relegated back to his No. 2 role while rookie Kenny Golladay has been ruled out for a fourth straight contest with a hamstring injury.

Le’Veon Bell rushed 35 times for 134 yards in that one, and the Steelers are now 11-0 all-time when the star running back runs at least 25 times in a game.

Playing in prime time hasn’t exactly suited the Lions in recent history. In Detroit’s previous 16 night games, they’re a brutal 3-13 SU.

 

Key Trends

The Steelers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the Lions.

The total has gone OVER in seven of the Lions’ last eight games at home in October.

The Steelers are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.

Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Pittsburgh is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games

Pittsburgh is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Detroit is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games

Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games

Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

 

 

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