NFL Report Week 10
posted Nov 12 2017, 10:28AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 10

*2017 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2016 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

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Tampa Bay Buccanears @ New York Jets

1:00

Vegas Lines:

Line  NYJ -1 (-110)

Total : O/U 44 (-110/-110)

 

 

The New York Jets are a perfect 8-0 SU and ATS in their last eight games against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Jets will have a chance to extend that winning streak this Sunday in Tampa Bay.

New York’s improbable stretch of success continued last Thursday with an impressive 34-21 win over the Buffalo Bills. Since going 0-2 SU and ATS to start the season, the Jets have found their rhythm and are 6-0-1 ATS and 4-3 SU. Career backup Josh McCown is enjoying a career year under center, completing 70.4 percent of his passes with 1,980 passing yards through nine games.

What has already been a disastrous season for the Buccaneers got worse this week with the news that Jameis Winston will be shut down for the next few weeks to rest his injured shoulder. Ryan Fitzpatrick takes over at quarterback for a team that is 2-6 SU and 1-6-1 ATS on the season and 0-5 SU and 0-4-1 ATS over its last five games. Tampa Bay hasn’t covered the spread since its first week of the season.

 

Key Trends

The Jets are 0-6 SU and ATS in their last six games on the road in November.

The Buccaneers are 5-0 SU in their last five games at home against teams with losing records.

The total has gone UNDER in six of the Jets’ last seven games against the Buccaneers.

 

NY Jets is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

NY Jets is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Jets' last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

NY Jets is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Tampa Bay is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Jets

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing NY Jets

Tampa Bay is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

 

 

 

 

 

 

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New Orlean Saints @ Buffalo Bills

1:00

Vegas Lines:

Line : NO -2 (-110)

Total : O/U 47.5 (-110)

 

 

Despite that horrible loss to the Jets, the Bills have been dominant at home this season, going 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 ATS and with an average margin of victory of 10.5 points. Buffalo’s game plan of controlling the ground game and minimizing turnovers is why they’re in the playoff hunt. If they plan to defeat New Orleans, Bills running back LeSean McCoy will need to have a bounce-back performance in Week 10 against a Saints team allowing 116 yards per game on the ground this season. Buffalo opened as a 2-point dog against New Orleans.

Speaking of the Saints, they’re hoping to pad their lead in the NFC South when they go for their seventh victory this season at New Era Field. In years past, the Saints were a horrible road team and routinely submarined their seasons with shoddy defense and terrible play away from the Superdome. Now, they’re ninth in points allowed (19.38) and are getting it done away from the Bayou with a record of 3-1 SU and ATS. Bettors should eat the points with the Saints this week and ride this wave of road competency.

The total opened at 46 and placing a wager on the OVER could pay off. The total has gone OVER in 11 of the Bills’ last 12 games at home and the average combined score in those games was 52.75.  On the flip side, the total has gone OVER in four of New Orleans’ last six road games and the Saints average just under 25 points per game away from the Superdome. Look for this matchup to be a high-scoring affair.

 

Key Trends

The Saints are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five games against the Bills.

The total has gone OVER in 14 of Buffalo’s last 20 games.

The Bills are 4-1 SU in their last five games in the 1 p.m. ET slot.

 

New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans' last 6 games when playing Buffalo

New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

Buffalo is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

Buffalo is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing New Orleans

Buffalo is 6-9-3 ATS in its last 18 games

 

 

 

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Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : ATL -3.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 48 (-110)

 

 

Sitting at 5-3 ATS, the Dallas Cowboys have been a reliable wager in 2017 and are riding a three-game covering streak ahead of their Week 10 tilt with the Atlanta Falcons. After cashing tickets in their first three games, the Falcons have failed to do so in five straight.

The Falcons are two games behind the New Orleans Saints for first place in the NFC South and quite simply haven’t resembled the team that made it all the way to the Super Bowl a year ago. Time is running out for Atlanta to get back on track, and a lot of that falls on offensive coordinator Steve Sarkisian, who’s come under heavy fire in recent weeks.

After losing as a favorite, the Falcons tend to follow up with more poor performances at the betting window. In Atlanta’s last 11 after losing as chalk, they’re a brutal 2-9 ATS the next week.

When the Cowboys have been given the underdog tag of late, they’ve been an extremely profitable bunch. In Dallas’ previous five as underdogs, they’re 4-1 SU and ATS.

 

 

Key Trends

The Falcons are 5-2 SU in their last seven games after a loss.

The total has gone OVER in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games in the late afternoon.

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of the Falcons’ last 15 games at home in November.

Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta

Atlanta is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Dallas

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

 

 

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