NFL Report Week 14
posted Dec 10 2017, 10:09AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 14

*2017 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2016 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob) 

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)





Oakland Raiders @ Kansas City Chiefs


Vegas Lines:

Line: KC -4 (-110)

Total : O/U 48.5 (-110/-110)


What more can be said about the Chiefs’ free fall. After Week 5, they were the toast of the league at 5-0 SU. Fast-forward to Week 14 and Kansas City took another brutal loss from the Jets when it seemed to have the game in hand. Poor discipline and allowing another 300-yard passing day to an opposing quarterback have contributed heavily to the Chiefs’ decline. And issues like this need to fall on head coach Andy Reid. The only saving grace for Chiefs backers is they’re 5-1 SU in their last six games vs the Raiders and it would be tough for Kansas City to lose twice in a season to a division rival. Another encouraging note is they did score 31 points on the Jets defense last week and could easily put up another 30 on the Raiders’ 22nd-ranked defense. If bettors plan to back the Chiefs this week, consider their moneyline.

Oakland is looking for its third win in a row and has shown signs of life after beating up on the hapless Giants and Broncos. The Raiders are also expected to have wideouts Michael Crabtree and Amari Cooper back in the lineup, which is bad news for Kansas City, which ranks 28th in passing yards allowed at 245 per game. Running back Marshawn Lynch had a throwback game versus the Giants, scoring on a 51-yard touchdown run and securing his first 100-yard rushing game since coming out of retirement. While recent trends would show the Raiders on the upswing, they’ll be in tough to knock off the Chiefs at Arrowhead, where they have lost four straight.

The total opened at 47 points and the UNDER may be the way to go. The total has gone UNDER in three of the last four games in this matchup. The UNDER has also hit in six of the Raiders’ last seven games vs divisional opponents. Expect a tight low-scoring game where neither team will want to take chances with the division title up for grabs.


Key Trends

The Raiders haven’t swept the season series vs the Chiefs since 2012.

The Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games vs divisional opponents.

The total has gone UNDER in nine of the Chiefs’ last 12 games in the early afternoon.


Oakland is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

Oakland is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road

Kansas City is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games

Kansas City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games at home

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Kansas City's last 17 games at home








Washington Redskins @ Los Angeles Chargers


Vegas Lines:

Line : LAC -6.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 46.5 (-110)



The Los Angeles Chargers looked to be dead in the water thanks to four straight losses to start the 2017 campaign, but Philip Rivers and company proceeded to win six of their next eight and are tied with the Oakland Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs for the AFC West lead ahead of Week 14’s matchup with the downtrodden Washington Redskins.

This is Washington’s third game of four vs the AFC West, as the Redskins beat Oakland 27-10 in Week 3 but fell to Kansas City 29-20 the following week. Whatever playoff hopes the ’Skins had were pretty much written off in Week 13 thanks to a blowout 38-14 road loss to the Dallas Cowboys. Stranger things have happened in the NFL, but the 5-7 SU Redskins making a run in the NFC is going to be incredibly tough.

The Chiefs’ implosion has opened the door wide open in the division, and the Chargers look like a great candidate to seize the opportunity with three weeks remaining in the season. Los Angeles won its third straight game last week in the form of a 19-10 triumph over the Cleveland Browns, where Rivers threw for 344 yards and a touchdown.

Top receiver Keenan Allen caught 10 balls for 105 yards and a touchdown in the win. It was Allen’s third tilt in a row with double-digit catches, at least 105 yards and a minimum of one score.

Playing in the 4:05 ET time slot hasn’t been kind to Washington of late. In the Redskins’ last 11 in the early afternoon, they’re 3-8 SU.


Key Trends

Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

Washington is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games

Washington is 12-5 ATS in its last 17 games on the road

LA is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

LA is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA's last 7 games

LA is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games at home

The Redskins are 10-3-1 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 14.

The Chargers are 1-5 SU in their last six games in December.

The total has gone OVER in six of the Redskins’ last seven games in December.







Baltimore Ravens @ Pittsburgh Steelers


Vegas Lines:

Line : PHI -3.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 46 (-110)



The Ravens are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs divisional opponents and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight divisional road games.

As their 10-2 SU record indicates, the Steelers have been on a roll for most of the season, while the Ravens appear to be hitting their stride at the right time after winning three straight games, which is their longest win streak since the beginning of last season. With the spread in the 5-point range favoring Pittsburgh, bettors should be very interested to know that four of the last five games between the teams have been decided by four points or less. Specifically, in Pittsburgh, they play a lot of tightly contested games with eight of the last 12 being decided by four or less.

The Steelers kicked the Ravens around pretty good in Week 4, 26-9. Le’Veon Bell played one of his better games of the season, accounting for 186 total yards and two touchdowns. A repeat performance might be a bit tricky this time around as Baltimore has allowed just 73 rushing yards per game during its three-game win streak. While Bell was able to light the Ravens up earlier this season, quarterback Ben Roethlisberger has struggled in recent matchups with Baltimore, throwing just four touchdowns and six interceptions in his last five games against them.

The Steelers have taken full advantage of playing on their home field this season as they’re averaging close to seven more points per game at home compared with on the road. Baltimore, on the other hand, is averaging eight fewer points per game on the road.  The total for the game is hovering at 43.5 points and the UNDER has hit in four of the last five games between these teams in Pittsburgh. The Ravens have been on a great OVER run, however, with only one of their last eight games going UNDER the total.



Key Trends

The Ravens are 3-1 ATS in their last four games against the Steelers.

The Ravens are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games as an underdog.

The Steelers are 11-0 SU in their last 11 games at night.2

Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games

Baltimore is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games on the road

Baltimore is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games on the road

Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 12 games

Pittsburgh is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home














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