NFL Report Week 17
posted Dec 31 2017, 05:56PM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Sunday Week 17

*2017 NFL Season Record: 8-5-0 +$2,650

*2016 NFL Season/Playoffs Record: 

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Saints @ Buccanears

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line: NO -6 (-110)

Total : O/U 50 (-110/-110)

 

Not many people had the Saints pegged as one of the NFC’s top contenders entering the season, but they’re in a position to clinch first place in the NFC South with a win vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, a team they’ve owned in recent seasons. New Orleans has won 10 of the last 12 games in this matchup, including a 30-10 annihilation in November.

It shouldn’t come as much of a shock to see the Saints favored in the 7-point range for the game in Tampa and bettors will be interested to know that New Orleans has performed well in this spot. The Saints are 2-0 SU and ATS as a road favorite this season, while the Bucs have an unprofitable history as a home underdog, going 10-19-1 ATS in their last 30.

Despite being on a five-game SU losing streak, the Buccaneers have shown some minor signs of life as their last three losses were all by just three points. They’ve also been dramatically better on defense when they play at home where they allow just 17.7 points per game, compared with 29.2 on the road. Ironically enough, though, the Saints defense does its best work on the road, allowing just 16.4 points outside of New Orleans.

The game features the highest total of the week at 50.5 which is a mark these teams have topped in just one of their last six matchups. Going UNDER in Tampa Bay is actually the norm for these teams, as they’ve gone below the total in eight of their last nine games there.

 

 

Key Trends

The Buccaneers are 7-20 ATS in their last 27 games at home in December.

The Saints are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs divisional opponents.

The Saints are 11-0 SU and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as favorite.

New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

New Orleans is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games

New Orleans is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games on the road

New Orleans is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road

Tampa Bay is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games

Tampa Bay is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games

Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

 

 

 

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49ers @ Rams

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : SF -6.5 (-110)

Total : O/U 44 (-110)

 

 

For the first time in several seasons, there is reason to be optimistic for San Francisco 49ers fans. Quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo looks like a revelation and remains undefeated as a starter in The Bay, as the 49ers are 4-0 SU and 3-1 ATS with the signal-caller under center. The 49ers could very well make that five consecutive victories when they visit the Los Angeles Rams on Sunday.

Normally, the Rams would be massive favorites in this matchup but with their place in the playoffs locked up, coach Sean McVay has alluded to benching several starters. The Rams’ offensive line is the only group to start all five of the same players in every game this season, something that will likely change in order to keep the unit fresh for the playoffs. If Andrew Whitworth is on the bench – which seems likely – then you should expect Jared Goff and Todd Gurley to be doing the same.

The 49ers are coming off their most impressive performance of the season, as they torched the best defense in the NFL for 44 points – including 21 in the fourth quarter. During San Fran’s four-game winning streak, they are sixth in the league in scoring and yards per game while also sitting second in time of possession. A red-hot 49ers offense could continue to add to those numbers against a group of backups.  

 

Key Trends

San Francisco is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

San Francisco is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games

San Francisco is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road

Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games

Los Angeles is 4-9-1 ATS in its last 14 games at home

The 49ers are 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games against the Rams.

The 49ers are 0-9 SU and 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 games on the road against teams with winning records.

The Rams are 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as favorite.

 

 

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Panthers @ Falcons

4:25

Vegas Lines:

Line : ATL -5 (-110)

Total : O/U 44.5 (-110)

 

The NFC South has featured drama from start to finish this season, and the highlight of the Week 17 slate in the NFL pits the Carolina Panthers and Atlanta Falcons against each other in a contest with massive playoff implications.

Here’s what we know for certain: the Panthers and the New Orleans Saints have already booked tickets to the postseason. The NFC South remains up for grabs, however, because if the Saints beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (or if the Panthers lose to the Falcons), they win the division.

The Panthers can climb as high as the No. 2 seed with a triumph over the Falcons and if the Vikings, Saints and Rams lose in Week 17. The chances of that happening are slim, so the most likely scenario for Carolina would be a wild-card spot. If the Falcons beat the Panthers, Atlanta gets the No. 6 seed. The Falcons can still make the playoffs if they lose, but only if the Seahawks lose against the Cardinals. Got all of that? Good. Excuse me while I go pass out now.

Totals bettors will be paying close attention to this game, as the UNDER has paid out in seven of the last nine meetings between the Panthers and Falcons. Carolina has traditionally struggled playing in Georgia, evidenced by the Panthers going 2-7 SU and ATS in their last nine trips to Atlanta.

 

 

Key Trends

The Falcons are 8-2 SU in their last 10 games vs divisional opponents.

The Falcons are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games at home after covering in their most recent home game.

The Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on the road.

Carolina is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games

Carolina is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Atlanta is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games

Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

Atlanta is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

 

 

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