NFL 2021 Week 10 Writeup
posted Nov 14 2021, 11:10AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting


NFL Football - Week 10


November 14, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






Cleveland Browns @ New England Patriots

1:00 PM

NE -2 (-113)

O/U 45 (-108)



Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 road games.

The UNDER is 8-3 in New England’s last 11 home games.

The OVER is 5-2 in Cleveland’s last 7 as an underdog.


Browns News & Notes

Is it a coincidence that Cleveland played maybe its best game of the season when the team finally had some closure with regard to OBJ? Absolutely not, as quarterback Baker Mayfield looked like he was having fun again, and wide receiver Donovan Peoples-Jones stepped in for Beckham with two catches for 86 yards, including a 60-yard touchdown.

It did help that Chubb busted loose for 137 yards on 14 carries, including two scores of his own. Chubb’s role in the offense is crucial because he can take some pressure off of Mayfield.

With Chubb possibly out of the lineup now and fellow running back Kareem Hunt still nursing a calf injury, D’Ernest Johnson could get a shot to shine again. Johnson rushed for 146 yards on 22 carries in a 17-14 win over the Denver Broncos in Week 7.


Cleveland are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against New England.

Cleveland are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against New England.

Cleveland are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.

Cleveland are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against New England.




Patriots News & Notes

New England rookie quarterback Mac Jones may not be flashy like his predecessors Cam Newton and Tom Brady, but he has done his best to avoid turnovers and become an effective game manager. The team’s record, especially the perfect road mark, shows that he has been successful.

While his counterparts the last couple weeks, Sam Darnold of the Carolina Panthers and Justin Herbert of the Los Angeles Chargers, have struggled in home losses, Jones has played like a cagey veteran beyond his years. That is what the Patriots have gotten so far for drafting perhaps the best QB prospect Nick Saban has produced at the college level. Time will tell, but it’s certainly looking that way.


New England are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 5 games.

New England are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games against Cleveland.





Seattle Seahawks vs Green Bay Packers


4:25 PM

GB -3 (-109)

O/U 48.5 (-109)



Seattle is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 games.

Green Bay is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite.

The OVER is 3-1 in the past 4 meetings.


Seahawks News & Notes

Seattle’s blowout win over Jacksonville two weeks ago certainly looks a lot better now after the Jaguars upset the Buffalo Bills 9-6 as 14.5-point home underdogs last week.

Smith played under control and completed 20 of 24 passes for 195 yards with two passing touchdowns and another score on the ground that gave the team an early 7-0 lead. The Seahawks coasted from there, going up 24-0 heading into the fourth quarter.

One of the keys to the victory was getting wide receivers Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf more involved, with the duo combining for 185 yards on 18 catches and two touchdowns. With Wilson set to return and their offensive success tied to that pair, look for that to continue.


Seattle are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games.

Seattle are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games.

Seattle are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Green Bay.



Packers News & Notes

Green Bay hung in there at Kansas City despite losing for just the second time in 2021. Love’s numbers were arguably better than those of counterpart Patrick Mahomes, as he completed 19 of 34 passes for 190 yards with one touchdown and one interception in his first career start.

The big mystery, though, was why Packers head coach Matt LaFleur did not utilize running back Aaron Jones more to help take some pressure off his second-year signal-caller. Jones touched the ball only 12 times – all on rushing attempts – and totaled 53 yards.

Wide receiver Davante Adams was targeted a game-high 14 times by Love and ended up with six catches for 42 yards in his return from the COVID list, but their chemistry was definitely an issue at times. That will not be the case with Rodgers back.


Green Bay are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Green Bay's last 6 games.

Green Bay are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 7 games against Seattle.





Kansas City Chiefs vs Las Vegas Raiders


8:20 PM

KC -2.5 (-118)

O/U 52.5 (-109)



Kansas City is 3-16-1 ATS over its last 20 games.

Las Vegas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 November games.

The OVER is 7-1 in Las Vegas’s last 8 home games.


Chiefs News & Notes

The Chiefs did not have the high-octane offense we are used to seeing from them last Sunday against the Green Bay Packers. Patrick Mahomes had only 166 passing yards and one passing touchdown and the offense produced only 13 points. But with an outstanding defensive effort and a turnover-free game, Kansas City managed to grind out a 13-7 win.

Needless to say, facing Jordan Love in his first career start instead of reigning MVP Aaron Rodgers was obviously a big help. But even if their last two games have come against an injury-plagued New York Giants offense and a Packers offense without Aaron Rodgers, Kansas City’s average of 12 points allowed per game in those two contests is still a huge drop-off from the 29 points per game the team allowed across its 3-4 SU start to the season.


Kansas City are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games.

Kansas City are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.

Kansas City are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games against Las Vegas.




Raiders News & Notes

Derek Carr threw 46 passes in last Sunday’s 23-16 loss on the road to the New York Giants. Carr had three turnovers in the game with two interceptions and a fumble. The Raiders clearly missed Henry Ruggs III in the passing game as running back Kenyan Drake was the team’s second-leading receiver with six catches for 70 yards behind tight end Darren Waller’s seven catches for 92 yards.

The Raiders signed DeSean Jackson on Monday to try to fill the deep threat void that Ruggs left behind. It will be interesting to see if Las Vegas makes an attempt to claim or sign the recently waived Odell Beckham Jr. as well. Las Vegas has averaged 31.4 points per game in its five wins this season and only 13 points per game in its three losses.


Las Vegas are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 9 of Las Vegas' last 13 games.

Las Vegas are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 8 games at home.











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