NFL 2021 Week 13 Writeup
posted Dec 05 2021, 09:34AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting


NFL Football - Week 13


December 5, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






Philadelphia Eagles @ New York Jets


1:00 PM

PHI -5.5 (-103)

O/U 43.5 (-108)



New York is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games.

Philadelphia is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite.

New York is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games vs Philadelphia.



Eagles News & Notes

Hurts continues to be more dangerous on the ground than through the air, as his running ability definitely kept Philadelphia alive at New York the first time around. He rushed eight times for 77 yards and completed only 14 of 31 passes for 129 yards, with running back Boston Scott picking up the team’s lone score on a one-yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter.

The Eagles will now need to have a short memory and avoid déjà vu in this spot, playing in the same stadium for the second consecutive week vs a lesser foe.

For Hurts, he needs to rely more on the running game moving forward and not try to do too much with his arm, which seems to get him into trouble with forced balls and such. The running game is as strong as it has been all year with Miles Sanders back in the fold, as he, Scott and Hurts combined for 205 rushing yards on 32 carries (6.4 yards per carry).


The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.

Philadelphia are 6-14 SU in their last 20 games.

Philadelphia are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games against NY Jets.

Philadelphia are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games against NY Jets.



Jets News & Notes

While Wilson may not have been the reason New York pulled off the upset at Houston, having the team’s quarterback of the future back certainly did not hurt there.

Instead, the Jets did a great job taking pressure off him by running the ball, splitting carries between veteran Tevin Coleman and youngsters Ty Johnson and Austin Walter. Between the three of them, they rushed for 147 yards on 31 carries and one touchdown, and Wilson added another score on the ground as well.

Even without injured rookie Michael Carter, New York head coach Robert Saleh realized he still had the ability to run the ball effectively with Coleman, Johnson and Walter, and he definitely deserves credit for keeping the game plan simple. Saleh’s defense also played very well against a comparable opponent.


NY Jets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets' last 8 games.

NY Jets are 5-15 SU in their last 20 games.

NY Jets are 3-10 SU in their last 13 games at home.





Los Angeles Chargers @ Cincinnati Bengals


1:00 PM

CIN -3 (+102)

O/U 49.5 (-108)



Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games vs AFC teams.

Cincinnati is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games vs Los Angeles.

The UNDER is 4-1 in Los Angeles’ last 5 road games.



Chargers News & Notes

Justin Herbert went 28-for-44 with 303 passing yards, two touchdowns and two interceptions in Los Angeles’s 28-13 loss to the Denver Broncos last Sunday. Herbert’s final stat line was helped along quite a bit by a nine-play drive in garbage time in which he collected 62 yards and a touchdown pass when the game was already out of reach.

Los Angeles fell to 2-4 SU and 1-5 ATS over it last six games with the loss after starting the season with a 4-1 SU and ATS record.

The Chargers are asking Herbert to do too much with their poor play on defense. Los Angeles has allowed 31.3 points per game over its last seven games, and the team ranks dead last in the NFL in rushing defense, yielding 145.3 rushing yards per game.


LA Chargers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

LA Chargers are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games.

LA Chargers are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Cincinnati.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 5 games on the road.



Bengals News & Notes

Fresh off a 32-13 blowout win as 2-point favorites over the Las Vegas Raiders, Cincinnati followed up by thrashing the Pittsburgh Steelers 41-10 as 3.5-point favorites. Joe Mixon torched the Steelers for 165 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 28 carries while Joe Burrow finished the day going 20-for-24 for 190 passing yards, one touchdown and one interception.

Daily fantasy sports players around the nation will be building their rosters around Mixon this weekend. The Bengals back has rushed for two touchdowns in each of Cincinnati’s last three games and has gone over 120 yards in each of his last two.

Mixon will likely have a field day against Los Angeles’s terrible rushing defense, and if Cincinnati jumps out to another big lead, things could really get out of hand.


Cincinnati are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.

Cincinnati are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 6 games against LA Chargers.





Denver Broncos @ Kansas City Chiefs


4:25 PM

KC -9 (-103)

O/U 46.5 (-103)



Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games vs AFC teams.

Kansas City is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 home games.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Denver’s last 5 games.



Broncos News & Notes

Pat Surtain II had two interceptions in last Sunday’s 28-13 win over the Los Angeles Chargers, taking the second one to the house for a 70-yard return for a touchdown to give the Broncos a 28-7 lead.

The Broncos improved to 3-1 SU and ATS over their last four games with the victory. Denver’s defense has allowed only 17.3 points per game over that four-game stretch and only 13 points per game in the three wins.

Drew Lock replaced an injured Teddy Bridgewater in the first half and went 4-for-7 with 26 passing yards and an interception. The Broncos turned back to Bridgewater, who played through his leg injury and finished the game going 11-for-18 with 129 passing yards, one touchdown pass and no interceptions.

Bridgewater is listed as probable to start this week while Lock’s status as the team’s primary backup is in question after his poor performance.


The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games.

Denver are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games against Kansas City.

Denver are 0-10 SU in their last 10 games against Kansas City.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road.



Chiefs News & Notes

The Chiefs wrapped up the month of November with a perfect 4-0 SU record, fueled by an unbelievable turnaround on defense.

Kansas City’s defense had another dominant performance against the Dallas Cowboys in the Chiefs’ last game, holding the Cowboys’ high-powered offense to only 276 total yards and forcing three turnovers in the team’s 19-9 win as 2.5-point home favorites. The unit has allowed only 11.8 points per game over the team’s last four games.

And now the Chiefs will have the chance to extend their lead in the AFC West coming off a bye week. Andy Reid has compiled a sensational 19-3 regular-season record over the course of his coaching career after a week off and has combined with Patrick Mahomes to produce a 7-1 SU record off a bye week, including postseason play.


Kansas City are 5-14-1 ATS in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games.

Kansas City are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games against Denver.


















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