NFL 2022 Week 10 Writeup
posted Nov 12 2022, 08:34PM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

NFL Football - Week 10

 

November 13, 2022

 

*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)

via Oddsmaker.com

 

 

 

 

Detroit Lions @ Chicago Bears

1:00 PM

CHI -3 (-115)

O/U 4.5 (-110)

 

 

Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.

Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 as a home favorite.

Chicago is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 vs the NFC North.

 

 

Lions News & Notes

 

The Lions were extremely competitive in their last two games at home and finally got rewarded with a victory against the Packers last week, their second straight win in the series following a five-game losing streak.

The problem is, they have been equally abysmal on the road, getting outscored 53-6 in their last two away from home and failing to come close to covering the spread in either of those games. Granted, Detroit visited the New England Patriots and Dallas Cowboys, but Chicago played better against both of them, upsetting the former as 8.5-point road underdogs back in Week 7.

The Lions will need to play even better defense here to contain a very dangerous signal-caller in Fields.

Detroit took advantage of an injury-riddled Green Bay team and forced opposing quarterback Aaron Rodgers into an uncharacteristic three interceptions, including two in the red zone for the first time in his career. This will be a much different challenge for the Lions, but one they can rise up to considering the Bears are a mess defensively without leading tackler Roquan Smith, who was traded to the Ravens. Detroit has the weapons to keep up on the scoreboard, cover and possibly pull off the upset.

 

Detroit are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games.

Detroit are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

Detroit are 0-7 SU in their last 7 games on the road.

 

.

Bears News & Notes

 

The Bears are averaging an NFL-best 195.4 yards per game on the ground, which is nearly 30 better than the second-ranked Baltimore Ravens. Last year, the Philadelphia Eagles led the league in rushing offense with 159.7 yards per game, and we all know where that trajectory has led them so far this season.

Fields is obviously the orchestrator of the offense much like Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts en route to becoming one of this year’s NFL MVP favorites. While Fields is not there yet, he has opened enough eyes and turned enough heads to make bettors notice that Chicago is almost never out of a game, which puts them in great position to cover as long as he can stay healthy. 

Not many teams get hyped while losing like Chicago does, but the huge upset at New England on national television may have been the beginning of big things for Fields. He is finally starting to live up to the hype, and he just needs to continue proving that hype is real while staying upright and limiting his turnovers. If Fields can continue to be a threat running and passing the ball – and stay on the field – the Bears can win and cover.

 

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games.

Chicago are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

Chicago are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit.

 

 

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Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers

4:25 PM

DAL -4 (-103)

O/U 44 (-110)

 

 

The UNDER is 14-6 in Dallas’ last 20 games vs sub-.500 teams.

Dallas is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games vs Green Bay.

Dallas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 as a favorite vs Green Bay.

 

 

Cowboys News & Notes

 

Before their bye, the Cowboys beat up on Justin Fields and the Chicago Bears to the tune of 49-29, their second straight home victory following a disappointing loss at Philadelphia in prime time. Dak Prescott has keyed the recent run of success after Cooper Rush filled in admirably during his absence.

Prescott completed 21 of 27 passes for 250 yards, two scores and one interception. But running back Tony Pollard was the star of the show, torching the Chicago defense for 131 rushing yards and three touchdowns on only 14 carries. CeeDee Lamb and Dalton Schultz combined for over 150 yards in receptions as this Cowboys offense is beginning to click at exactly the right time. 

On the other side of the ball, Micah Parsons continues to impress in his sophomore campaign. The Penn State product has been incredible since moving to a rushing position, racking up 36 tackles and eight sacks on the season.

With Green Bay’s inefficiencies on offense, the only way the Packers can stay in this game is by pressuring Dak Prescott and forcing him into mistakes. The Dallas line will have to step up to prevent that, and a healthy dose of Tony Pollard would go a long way in ensuring no mistakes are made.

 

Dallas are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Dallas' last 20 games.

Dallas are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.

Dallas are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Green Bay.

 

 

Packers News & Notes

 

Things can’t get much worse for the Packers after their loss at Detroit. Aaron Rodgers looked rattled from the very beginning and tossed two critical red-zone interceptions.

Rodgers threw the ball 43 times, completing 23 passes for 291 yards. Allen Lazard had one of his better games of the season with four catches for 87 yards and a score, but Romeo Doubs was carted off the field and is expected to miss valuable time.

Running backs Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon combined for only 20 carries and 59 yards on the ground.

Defensively, the Packers remained sound, but Rodgers and company will have to start giving them some help if they are to snap this five-game losing streak.

Aaron Rodgers is now down one of his main targets at wide receiver and there is no help in sight. Aaron Jones, AJ Dillon and timely turnovers are the Packers’ path to not only covering, but potentially winning their first game in nearly two months.

 

Green Bay are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Green Bay's last 10 games.

Green Bay are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 14 of Green Bay's last 20 games against Dallas.

 

 

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Los Angeles Charges @ San Francisco 49ers

8:20 PM

SF -7 (-108)

O/U 45.5 (-104)

 

 

Los Angeles is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games vs NFC teams.

San Francisco is 6-1 ATS over its last 7 home games.

The UNDER is 12-4 in San Francisco’s last 16 games.

 

 

Chargers News & Notes

 

The Chargers overcame an early 10-0 deficit to defeat the Atlanta Falcons 20-17 as 2.5-point road favorites on Sunday. Los Angeles didn’t have Joey Bosa on defense or either of its top two wide receivers, Keenan Allen and Mike Williams, due to injury, but the team still got the job done. Joshua Palmer caught eight passes for 106 yards and Austin Ekeler had 71 all-purpose yards and two touchdowns.

Ekeler has scored 10 touchdowns and has averaged 117.8 all-purpose yards per game during Los Angeles’ current 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS run. Los Angeles enters Sunday’s game in San Francisco with a 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS record in four road games this season, with the one loss coming in Week 2 at Kansas City.

Los Angeles has averaged only 20.7 points per game over its last three games, going 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS. The Chargers will need to play well on defense to come away with a Chargers vs 49ers prediction upset as the offense currently doesn’t look healthy enough to win in a shootout.

 

The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Chargers' last 14 games.

LA Chargers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

LA Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against San Francisco.

LA Chargers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games against San Francisco.

 

 

49ers News & Notes

Christian McCaffrey’s first start in a 49ers uniform was one to remember as the superstar running back threw for a touchdown, rushed for 94 yards and a score and caught eight passes for 55 yards and a touchdown. Fueled by McCaffrey’s sensational day, San Francisco cruised to a 31-14 win on the road over the Los Angeles Rams. The victory as a 1-point underdog helped the 49ers snap out of an 0-2 SU and ATS slump to enter their bye week with a 4-4 SU and ATS record.

The 49ers are 2-1 SU and ATS over their last three games coming off a bye after having gone just 2-12-1 SU and ATS in their previous 15 games after a break. Deebo Samuel returned to practice this week and is expected to rejoin the 49ers after missing the Rams game with a hamstring injury.

The 49ers have had a bye week to get healthier, prepare for the Chargers offense and get Christian McCaffrey even more comfortable in their system. With all of this in mind, San Francisco should win and cover the spread as a Chargers vs 49ers pick if the team plays to its potential.

 

San Francisco are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 12 of San Francisco's last 16 games.

San Francisco are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games against LA Chargers.

 

 

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