Cleveland Browns @ Kansas City Chiefs

3:05 PM

KC -9.5 (-108)

O/U  57 (-108)

The Browns are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.

The Chiefs are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland’s last 7 games.

Cleveland News & Notes

It wasn’t pretty as Cleveland jumped out to a 28-0 first-quarter lead, then held on for dear life in a 48-37 wild-card win over the rival Pittsburgh Steelers for the Browns’ first playoff triumph since 1995.

More impressively, the Browns won despite having to deal with COVID-19 concerns that left them without head coach Kevin Stefanski and Pro Bowl guard Joel Bitonio, among others.

Cleveland comes in having won seven of nine but has covered just four times over that span. Still, there’s reason for optimism, at least from a cover standpoint: the Browns have gone 3-1 ATS in their past four road games, including a pair of outright wins as underdogs.

Look for Cleveland to lean on the run game against a Chiefs team ranked 21st in rushing defense.

Cleveland are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games.

Cleveland are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.

Cleveland are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Kansas City.

Kansas City News & Notes

The Browns will need a whole lot more than five yards per carry to advance to the AFC championship game as they tangle with a formidable Chiefs offense. Kansas City finished with the sixth-most points in the NFL this season, while their plus-111 point differential ranked No. 7 overall. The defending champions also led the league in passing offense at 303.4 yards per game.

But there are plenty of reasons for Browns bettors to be bullish here. The Chiefs boasted one of the worst ATS records of any team in the league, and each of their final seven regular-season victories came by six or fewer points.

They’re also a dismal 1-4 ATS in their last five games as double-digit favorites, including an outright 40-32 loss to Las Vegas at -10.5 on October 11.

Kansas City are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.

Kansas City are 10-1 SU in their last 11 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games against Cleveland.

Kansas City are 13-2 SU in their last 15 games at home.

Tampa Bay Buccanears @ New Orleans Saints

6:40 PM

NO -2.5 (-113)

O/U 52 (-103)

Tampa Bay is 6-0 SU in its last 6 road games.

New Orleans is 8-1-1 ATS over its last 10 games.

The OVER is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 7 games vs New Orleans.

Tampa Bay News & Notes

The Buccaneers appeared to be on their way to an easy win and cover when they entered the half with an 18-7 lead over the Washington Football Team last Saturday. Washington pulled to within two points by making it 18-16 in the third quarter, but Tampa Bay eventually pulled away to win 31-23, failing to cover the spread as a 10-point favorite but still improving to 5-0 SU over its last five games.

Tom Brady finished the day going 22-for-40 for 381 passing yards and two passing touchdowns.

Now, Tampa Bay will need to try to figure out the Saints. The Buccaneers are 12-3 SU and 9-6 ATS against all other teams in the NFL this season, averaging 33.3 points per game on offense and allowing only 20.4 points per game on defense in those 15 games. In its two games against New Orleans, Tampa Bay has scored only 12 points per game and allowed an average of 36 points.

Tampa Bay are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

Tampa Bay are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

Tampa Bay are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against New Orleans.

Tampa Bay are 0-5 SU in their last 5 games against New Orleans.

New Orleans News & Notes

The New Orleans defense put together another dominant performance in its wild-card win against the Chicago Bears, holding the Bears to only 239 total yards and nine points, with 99 of those yards and a touchdown coming on a meaningless game-ending drive.

The Saints finished the regular season ranked fourth in the NFL in total yards allowed at 310.9 per game and were fifth in points allowed at 21.1 per game.

Drew Brees completed 28 of his 39 pass attempts on Sunday for 265 passing yards and two touchdown passes with no interceptions. One of those scoring strikes was to Michael Thomas, who has struggled with injuries this season and hadn’t caught a touchdown pass prior to this one.

If the Saints can get things going on offense and continue to play at the level they’ve been playing at on defense, they could be the team to beat in the NFC.

New Orleans are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New Orleans' last 10 games.

New Orleans are 12-2 SU in their last 14 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans' last 7 games against Tampa Bay.