NFL 2021 Week 14 Writeup
posted Dec 12 2021, 08:45AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting



NFL Football - Week 14


December 12, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






Baltimore Ravens @ Cleveland Browns


1:00 PM

CLE -2.5 (-119)

O/U 43 (-103)



Baltimore is 14-5 SU over its last 19 games.

Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 home games vs Baltimore.

The UNDER is 5-0 in Baltimore’s last 5 road games.


Ravens News & Notes

Baltimore fell out of the top seed in the AFC on Sunday after losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers 20-19 as a 4-point road favorite. The Ravens also suffered yet another key injury as star cornerback Marlon Humphrey was lost for the season with a shoulder injury. Humphrey’s strong play this season has helped lift an already injury-hampered secondary that has been without Marcus Peters all season.

Sunday’s game continued a disturbing trend of lackluster offense from Baltimore as well. The Ravens are 2-2 SU and ATS over their last four games and have scored only 15.3 points per game over that stretch.

Lamar Jackson has averaged 218.7 passing yards per game over his last three starts and has thrown three touchdowns and six interceptions in those games.


Baltimore are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games.

Baltimore are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games.

Baltimore are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Cleveland.



Browns News & Notes

Cleveland entered its bye week on the heels of a 16-10 loss to the Ravens on November 28. Like the Ravens, the Browns have been struggling badly on offense of late, averaging only 10 points per game over their current 1-2 SU and 0-3 ATS slump.

The team’s points per game numbers are a bit skewed by some random outbursts of offense (42 points in Week 5 and 41 points in Week 9), but the Browns have scored 17 points or less in seven of their last nine games.

It’s fair to wonder if Baker Mayfield is the long-term answer in Cleveland. Mayfield has averaged a dismal 202 passing yards in his last three starts with three touchdowns and three interceptions. With a dominant running game to take the pressure off him, the former first overall pick should be doing a lot more in his fourth NFL season.


Cleveland are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 10 games against Baltimore.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home.






San Francisco 49ers @ Cincinnati Bengals


4:25 PM

SF -2 (-107)

O/U 49 (-103)



The OVER is 5-2 in San Francisco’s last 7 games.

Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games after a home loss.

San Francisco is 12-3 SU in its last 15 vs Cincinnati.



49ers News & Notes

The 49ers hope a trip to the eastern time zone will get them back in the win column. They are a perfect 6-0 in their last half-dozen trips east, winning by an average score of more than 17 points. On the flip side, the Bengals have lost by an average of more than 15 points the last three times they played host to a West Coast team.

Niners tight end George Kittle is coming off a monster game vs Seattle, making a season-high nine catches for 181 yards to go along with a pair of touchdowns. San Fran may need a similar performance this week if the team is without its top rusher and receiver.

Deebo Samuel, one of four NFL wideouts with over 1,000 yards receiving this season, missed last week’s contest vs Seattle with a groin injury. Meanwhile, running back Elijah Mitchell, who was held to just 66 yards by the Seahawks, was injured in that game and is listed as questionable.


San Francisco are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games.

San Francisco are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

San Francisco are 12-3 SU in their last 15 games against Cincinnati.



Bengals News & Notes

Joe Burrow is coming off his fourth multi-interception game of the season. The Bengals pivot threw two picks against the Chargers in Week 13 and now leads the league with 14. Cincinnati is 0-4 this season when Burrow throws two or more interceptions. Burrow is expected to play this week despite dislocating his pinky finger vs Los Angeles.

The total has gone OVER in four of Cincinnati’s last six games and that’s thanks in large part to the play of running back Joe Mixon and wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase, who have combined for 22 of the Bengals’ 40 touchdowns this season.

Both, however, are coming off below-average performances. Those laying money down on the Bengals will be hoping for bounce-back games from the team’s three young stars.


The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 6 games.

Cincinnati are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games at home.

Cincinnati are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against San Francisco.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games this season.






Buffalo Bills @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers


4:25 PM

TB -3.5 (-109)

O/U 54 (-108)



Tampa Bay is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 vs Buffalo.

Buffalo is 8-3 ATS in its last 11 road games.

The UNDER is 5-2 in Tampa Bay’s last 7 games.



Bills News & Notes

An excessively windy night in Buffalo on Monday produced less than ideal conditions for Josh Allen and the Bills offense to work in. Allen finished the game going 15-for-30 with 145 passing yards, one touchdown and no interceptions and led the running game with 39 rushing yards in a 14-10 loss to the New England Patriots. The Patriots rushed the ball 46 times in the upset win as Mac Jones threw only three passes for 19 yards.

Buffalo is now 3-4 SU and 2-4-1 ATS over its last seven games since opening the season with a 4-1 SU and ATS record. With an elite quarterback in Allen and an elite defense that ranks best in the NFL in yards allowed per game (272.3) and is second in points allowed per game (16.3), the Bills have the look of a legitimate Super Bowl contender on paper. They just haven’t played like one with consistency so far this season.


The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games.

Buffalo are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.

Buffalo are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Tampa Bay.

Buffalo are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against Tampa Bay.



Buccanneers News & Notes

Tom Brady completed 38 of his 51 pass attempts for 368 yards, four touchdowns and one interception in Tampa Bay’s 30-17 road win over the Atlanta Falcons last Sunday. Chris Godwin had 15 catches for 143 yards while Rob Gronkowski hauled in two touchdown receptions. The Buccaneers are now 3-0 SU and ATS over their last three games and have scored at least 30 points in each of those games. 

At 44 years old, Brady could be on his way to the fourth NFL MVP award of his career. Brady leads the NFL in passing yards (3,771) and passing touchdowns (34) and has his team in the hunt for the top seed in the NFC. And this offense still has room to get even more dangerous when Antonio Brown returns from his suspension.


Tampa Bay are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games.

Tampa Bay are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games.

Tampa Bay are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home.






















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