NFL 2021 Week 15 Writeup
posted Dec 19 2021, 10:19AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting


NFL Football - Week 15


December 19, 2021


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






New York Jets @ Miami Dolphins


1:00 PM

MIA -10 (-103)

O/U 41.5 (-108)



New York is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games as a road underdog.

Miami is 7-1 SU and 7-0-1 ATS in the past 8 meetings.

The UNDER is 3-1 in New York’s last 4 games.


Jets News & Notes

Since upsetting the Houston Texans 21-14 as 3-point road underdogs in Week 12, there has not been much to get excited about if you are a Jets fan or backer.

In their last two games, they have been outscored 63-27 by the Philadelphia Eagles and New Orleans Saints at home, and the rushing attack has been a big concern with rookie running back Michael Carter (ankle) still out.

While Carter is eligible to return from injured reserve in Week 15, the fourth-round draft pick may not be ready to go, so make sure to keep tabs on his status prior to Sunday. Without Carter, rookie quarterback Zach Wilson led the team in rushing last week, totaling 33 yards on four carries, including an 18-yarder.


NY Jets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 7 of NY Jets' last 10 games.

NY Jets are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.

NY Jets are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against Miami.



Dolphins News & Notes

The health of Miami’s backfield is definitely a concern off the bye week, as the team had not dealt with any COVID-19 issues since Week 1. Gaskin (team-high 526 rushing yards and 217 receiving) has been a key cog in the offense again this season, serving as a safety valve for second-year quarterback Tua Tagovailoa with six touchdowns overall as well.

If Gaskin cannot play this week, Tagovailoa will probably be forced to throw the ball more, especially since reserves Ahmed and Lindsay also tested positive.

A bright spot for the offense, though, continues to be rookie wide receiver Jaylen Waddle, who leads all first-year players in catches with 86, which is tied for fifth overall in the league.  


Miami are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games.

Miami are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games against NY Jets.





Atlanta Falcons @ San Francisco 49ers 


4:25 PM

SF -9 (-103)

O/U 47.5 (-108)



Atlanta is 1-5 SU in its last 6 December games.

San Francisco is 2-8 SU in its last 10 home games.

The OVER is 4-1 in the past 5 meetings.


Falcons News & Notes

The Falcons are underdogs for the ninth time in 14 games this year, and they have gone 3-5 SU and ATS in the first eight, with the three wins all taking place away from home.

In two of those games, they closed at +2.5 and the other was a 27-25 upset of the New Orleans Saints at +6.5. Winning at New Orleans could prove to be huge if Atlanta can somehow find a way to get another road victory here as well.

The team’s 5-2 road mark has kept it alive in the hunt for the postseason, and fortunately for Atlanta, the 49ers have not played well at Levi’s Stadium until recently with a 2-4 home record there in 2021.


The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games.

Atlanta are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games.

Atlanta are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games against San Francisco.

Atlanta are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.



49ers News & Notes

San Francisco has also enjoyed more success on the road this year, going 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS. But the 49ers have dominated in their last two home games too, outscoring the Los Angeles Rams and Minnesota Vikings by a combined score of 65-36, and they would be riding a five-game winning streak overall if not for a 30-23 loss to the Seattle Seahawks in Week 13.

In addition, San Francisco head coach Kyle Shanahan knows opposing quarterback Matt Ryan very well from the days as his offensive coordinator, so that edge could be the difference in this one. Shanahan knows Ryan’s tendencies and has the defense to pressure him, unlike Carolina, which failed to sack him last week.


San Francisco are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

San Francisco are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games against Atlanta.

San Francisco are 2-8 SU in their last 10 games at home.






Cincinnati Bengals @ Denver Broncos


4:25 PM

DEN -3 (-103)

O/U 44 (-108)



Cincinnati is 3-19-1 SU in its last 23 games as a road underdog.

Cincinnati is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games as an underdog vs Denver.

The OVER is 3-1 in Denver’s last 4 games as a favorite.


Bengals News & Notes

The Week 14 home loss to the 49ers may have done some psychological damage to the Bengals. It looked like they had secured the win with a field goal only to have San Francisco respond with a game-winning touchdown in OT.

The Bengals will need to show mental fortitude if they want to make the playoffs. There are no easy matchups remaining for the team, which closes out the regular season with games against the Broncos, Ravens, Chiefs and Browns.

Joe Mixon hasn’t had the most productive past two games, but the running back has been battling an illness. He looks to bounce back against a Denver run defense that allowed 83 yards to Lions reserve Craig Reynolds in Week 14. 


Cincinnati are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 7 games.

Cincinnati are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.

Cincinnati are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games against Denver.



Broncos News & Notes

Finishing strong at home will be a vital part of the playoff push for the Broncos, who have two games remaining on their home turf, beginning with this one.

The ground game completely dominated Detroit in Week 14 with Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams combining for three touchdowns and 184 rushing yards on 39 carries.

Cincinnati doesn’t give up many yards to opposing running backs but Denver must stick to its strengths of running the ball, getting stops on defense and avoiding turnovers. Putting the Bengals in a favorable field position is a recipe for disaster due to their plethora of offensive options.


Denver are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games.

Denver are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games at home.






















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