Super Bowl Writeup
posted Feb 13 2022, 10:20AM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting

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Cincinnati Bengals @ Los Angeles Rams

6:30 PM ET

LAR -4 (-110)

O/U 48.5 (-110)



Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games vs AFC teams.

Cincinnati is 2-11-1 SU in its last 14 games vs NFC teams.

The UNDER is 4-1 in Cincinnati’s last 5 games.


Bengals News & Notes

Joe Burrow deserves all of the love he is getting from fans and the media during Cincinnati’s 3-0 SU and ATS postseason run. The second-year quarterback is already an outstanding team leader and has consistently gotten the job done this postseason with some clutch late-game drives.

But while it has been Burrow dominating the headlines, Cincinnati’s defense also deserves a ton of credit for the team’s back-to-back upsets of the Tennessee Titans and Kansas City Chiefs.

The Bengals have held their opponents to only 19.7 points per game this postseason despite allowing 371 total yards per game. Cincinnati was torched by Patrick Mahomes for three straight touchdown drives in the AFC championship game, but instead of falling apart, the defense didn’t allow another score until a field goal at the end of regulation. And it was Vonn Bell’s interception in overtime that put Burrow in position to march down the field on a game-winning drive.

The combination of Burrow and the defense making timely plays has made Cincinnati an extremely dangerous underdog. The Bengals are 6-1 SU and 7-0 ATS over their last seven games, including a 4-1 SU and 5-0 ATS record as an underdog, and the only outright loss over that stretch came with Burrow and other starters resting in Week 18 against the Cleveland Browns.


Cincinnati are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games.

Cincinnati are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games against LA Rams.



Rams News & Notes

With Jared Goff under center, it often felt like the Rams were a Super Bowl contender in spite of their quarterback rather than because of him. Goff’s infamously poor performance in Super Bowl 53 was followed by a pair of bad seasons in 2019 and 2020 that put the wheels in motion for Los Angeles to make a trade for Matthew Stafford. It’s hard to imagine a Goff-led Rams team overcoming a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit against the San Francisco 49ers like Stafford did in the NFC championship game.

Stafford finished that game going 31-for-45 for 337 passing yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He has recorded two touchdown passes in each of his three playoff games this season and has completed 72 percent of his passes for 905 yards this postseason. Cooper Kupp and Odell Beckham Jr. combined for 20 catches and 255 receiving yards in the win over the Niners.

Los Angeles has a great shot to win as a Rams vs Bengals prediction on Super Bowl Sunday, but covering the spread will require a break from the team’s recent trend toward closely contested games. The Rams are 2-3 ATS over their recent 4-1 SU run with four of the five games over that stretch being decided by three points or less.


LA Rams are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.

LA Rams are 8-1 SU in their last 9 games.

LA Rams are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Cincinnati.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games on the road.

















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