NFL 2022 Week 6 Writeup
posted Oct 16 2022, 12:15PM
story by Risky Picks
posted in NFL, Betting


NFL Football - Week 6


October 16, 2022


*2021 NFL Season Record:

*2021 NFL Season/Playoffs Record:

Handicapping + Fantasy Picks.. Via (@IncarceratedBob)

Co Write-Up via Jordan Barnes (@JumpmanJordan on Twitter)






New York Jets @ Green Bay Packers

1:00 PM

GB -7.5 (-109)

O/U 45 (-106)




New York is 8-28 SU in its last 36 as an underdog.

Green Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.

Green Bay is 24-4 SU in its last 28 home games.



Jets News & Notes


After stealing a victory on the road in Pittsburgh, the Jets returned home in Week 5 to face the AFC East rival Dolphins. New York quickly knocked Miami signal-caller Teddy Bridgewater out of the game, forcing the Dolphins to turn to third-stringer Skylar Thompson. The Jets made the rookie look just like that as he threw an interception and lost a fumble.

On the offensive side of the ball, the Jets put up 40 points thanks to the emergence of running back Breece Hall. The rookie carried the ball 18 times for 97 yards but also made two catches that went for 100 yards.

Hall punched one carry into the end zone for a score and Michael Carter added two rushing majors among his 10 carries. With the running attack in sync, it has given Zach Wilson both time and confidence to look downfield when utilizing play action and various misdirection plays.



NY Jets are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games.

The total has gone OVER in 13 of NY Jets' last 19 games.

NY Jets are 6-12 SU in their last 18 games.

NY Jets are 8-4 SU in their last 12 games against Green Bay.



Packers News & Notes


The trip overseas was one to forget for Aaron Rodgers and the rest of the Green Bay Packers. Losing 27-22 and unable to punch the ball into the end zone at the end of the game, the Packers fell to 3-2 on the year following big wins against the Patriots and the Buccaneers. 

Rodgers threw 39 times, connecting on 25 passes for 222 yards and two touchdowns. While his chemistry with his young wide receivers appeared to be on the correct trajectory, he was content peppering longtime teammate Randall Cobb, who caught seven passes on 13 targets for 99 yards.

In order for the Packers to succeed, the rookie wideouts must perform better. Romeo Doubs caught three passes on five targets and Christian Watson was essentially invisible. With the Packers boasting a defense capable of winning a Super Bowl, this game vs the Jets could be a great spot for Rodgers and his charges to get right.




Green Bay are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games.

Green Bay are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games against NY Jets.





Buffalo Bills @ Kansas City Chiefs


4:25 PM

BUF -2.5 (-103)

O/U 54.5 (-108)



Houston is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games.

San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games.

The UNDER is 5-1 in Houston’s last 6 games.



Bills News & Notes


After struggling to put together any semblance of offense in the first part of the schedule, the Texans have finally found their groove. They are fresh off a 41-29 win over the playoff hopeful Chargers and have scored 30 or more points in back-to-back games for the first time all season.

Houston has not only won two in a row but has covered two games in a row against the spread. Moreover, the total has gone OVER in the Texans’ last three games, delivering consistent value on a usually low number behind the play of rookie quarterback Davis Mills.

Mills went 21-for-27 for 254 yards and two touchdowns in the upset vs Los Angeles while Rex Burkhead rushed for 149 yards on 22 carries. 


The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games.

Buffalo are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games.

Buffalo are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Kansas City.

Buffalo are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games against Kansas City.



Chiefs News & Notes


The 49ers started 2-0, only to lose four straight games. Since then, they have compiled a 6-3 record in their last nine games, delivering on the potential most people thought they had coming into the season.

The total has gone UNDER in San Francisco’s last three games, which all had totals coming in below 50. The Niners have covered two of their last three games against the spread.

The big news, though, is the potential start of Trey Lance if Jimmy Garoppolo’s thumb injury suffered against the Titans keeps him out. Lance, the third overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, has made one start and seen action in five games, completing 25 of 48 pass attempts for 354 yards and carrying the ball 30 times for 137 yards.


Kansas City are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.

The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas City's last 13 games.

Kansas City are 15-3 SU in their last 18 games.

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games against Buffalo.




 Dallas Cowboys @ Philadelphia Eagles


8:20 PM

PHI -6.5 (-113)

O/U 42 (-108)



The UNDER in 7-2 in Dallas’ last 9 games

Arizona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games vs Dallas

Dallas is 9-0 SU in its last 9 games vs the NFC



Cowboys News & Notes


Prescott was not playing well in the season-opening loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers before he got hurt, but the defense has been outstanding all season even despite that defeat.

The Cowboys have not surrendered more than 19 points in any of their first five games, and they have allowed an average of 13.25 during their winning streak. However, they will be facing one of the league’s early MVP candidates here in Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts, who has been extremely dangerous with his legs and his arm.

Dallas will need to make Hurts one-dimensional in this one, and Micah Parsons will be responsible for keeping him in the pocket and preventing him from taking off running.




Dallas are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas' last 6 games.

Dallas are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.

Dallas are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games against Philadelphia.




Eagles News & Notes

It is easy to see why Philadelphia is the favorite to win the NFC as the NFL’s only remaining undefeated team, but the team’s great play on both sides of the ball has given the City of Brotherly Love reason to hope for another Vince Lombardi Trophy.

Hurts has been fantastic in his third season while the defense of the Eagles has kept them in games, especially last week when the offense was not at its best. Philadelphia edged the Arizona Cardinals 20-17 but failed to beat the spread as a 5.5-point road favorite, ending the team’s three-game cover streak.


The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 6 games.

Philadelphia are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas.










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